Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.281523 0.382713 0.495103 0.626887 0.775139 0.935010 1.118798
2025-05-18 0.145934 0.273001 0.434339 0.642085 0.892905 1.178367 1.521083
2025-05-25 0.065216 0.182715 0.355210 0.596508 0.904194 1.267871 1.717008
2025-06-01 0.020705 0.116372 0.287773 0.550215 0.902921 1.334049 1.879286
2025-06-08 0.003958 0.078398 0.248122 0.530624 0.926994 1.424089 2.063762
2025-06-15 0.000153 0.060456 0.235116 0.544835 0.992452 1.563310 2.306015
2025-06-22 NaN 0.040770 0.210938 0.537531 1.025745 1.659874 2.494592
2025-06-29 NaN 0.023972 0.183594 0.520229 1.041973 1.732425 2.651888
2025-07-06 NaN 0.019933 0.186185 0.551864 1.127100 1.894003 2.919903
2025-07-13 NaN 0.017760 0.193221 0.590908 1.222871 2.069611 3.205725
2025-07-20 NaN 0.015141 0.197437 0.624550 1.310653 2.234759 3.478581
2025-07-27 NaN 0.015347 0.211813 0.676691 1.425808 2.436308 3.797638
2025-08-03 NaN 0.012763 0.215935 0.713052 1.522493 2.619775 4.102364
2025-08-10 NaN 0.007750 0.205748 0.722433 1.579803 2.752361 4.344910
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001303 0.168924 0.675694 1.549681 2.765869 4.434308
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.134153 0.625722 1.510608 2.764684 4.502921
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.115158 0.604875 1.514445 2.820037 4.642444
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.112170 0.620059 1.575707 2.954511 4.884514
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.100430 0.612248 1.598790 3.035523 5.056768
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.085679 0.593706 1.602852 3.089173 5.192757
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.090490 0.627590 1.694701 3.266511 5.491174
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.098121 0.669326 1.799889 3.462828 5.814729
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.103618 0.705220 1.895325 3.645504 6.120536